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FORTRESS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS LIMITED - Trading and pre-close operational update

Release Date: 03/12/2024 16:40
Wrap Text
Trading and pre-close operational update

FORTRESS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS LIMITED
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)
(Registration number 2009/016487/06)
JSE share code: FFB
ISIN: ZAE000248506
Bond company code: FORI
LEI: 378900FE98E30F24D975
("Fortress" or "the Company")


Trading and pre-close operational update

Shareholders and noteholders are referred to the final results announcement
for year ended 30 June 2024 ("FY2024"), released on SENS on 29 August 2024. 
We hereby provide an update on Fortress' operations for the period 
subsequent to 30 June 2024.

"Fortress is a real estate investment company with a portfolio of high-quality 
logistics and retail assets in South Africa and Central and Eastern Europe. 
Fortress directly holds logistics assets of c. R20 billion and a South 
African retail portfolio of c. R10 billion. In addition, Fortress has a 
holding of c. R16 billion in NEPI Rockcastle shares which provides exposure 
to the best retail portfolio in Central and Eastern Europe. Combined, 
these holdings provide shareholders with exposure to a c.R50 billion real 
estate portfolio with a significant development pipeline, providing growth 
opportunities for the future.

High-quality, secure logistics space continues to perform well and has 
experienced buoyant demand with continued low vacancies across our portfolio. 
This demand for logistics space in prime locations is demonstrated by the
93 954m2 of new logistics properties currently under development, 
comprising 64 514m2 in South Africa and a further 29 440m2 in Poland, 
of which 75% is pre-let. The demand for our logistics properties is 
testament to the quality of our builds, with best-in-class flooring, 
large yards and 15-metre eaves height to enable additional racking and 
increased warehouse volume. This is coupled with efficient access to 
key transport routes, which is underpinned by established infrastructure.

Despite a consumer-constrained environment, our retail portfolio achieved 
like-for-like tenant turnover growth of 4,5% and maintained a low vacancy 
rate, based on rental, of 1,1%. The satisfactory performance of the core 
retail portfolio has been led by recently refurbished and extended centres. 
We continue to ensure that our entire portfolio remains relevant and 
attractive to consumers and tenants.

Our continued focus on improving the performance of our core portfolio, 
while disposing of the underperforming assets, has delivered positive 
results and we will continue to drive this strategy, while remaining 
prudent in the allocation of capital. In line with this strategy, we 
have disposed of non-core properties with a combined book value of 
R718 million, for proceeds of R746 million post FY2024. This capital 
has been recycled into new logistics developments and strategic 
retail redevelopments and extensions. Properties with a combined 
book value of R257 million are held for sale at the date of this 
report.

The more positive trading environment has resulted in an upgrade 
to our previous distributable earnings forecast from R1,75 billion 
to R1,78 billion for the financial year ending 30 June 2025 
("FY2025")." Steven Brown, CEO.

SA logistics and logistics developments

Vacancies, based on rental, in our South African ("SA") logistics 
portfolio decreased from 1,5% at 30 June 2024 to 1,4% at 
31 October 2024. The vacancy remains low by historical standards, 
driven by strong demand for newly completed developments, 
effective asset management initiatives across the standing 
portfolio and the improved quality of the overall logistics 
offering, due to the successful recycling of non-core assets.

Construction of the 4 619m2 warehouse for John Deere at Eastport 
Logistics Park ("Eastport") was completed in September 2024, with the 
10-year lease commencing on 1 November 2024. Construction of the 
19 970m2 warehouse at Eastport, for Crusader Logistics, is progressing 
well and is on schedule for completion in September 2025. Crusader 
Logistics, an existing tenant at Eastport, has signed a five-year lease, 
with an option in favour of Fortress to extend for a further five years. 
Construction of the 31 481m2 warehouse for Liquor Runners, who has 
signed a five-year lease, is on track, with beneficial occupation 
planned for October 2025. Demand for space at Eastport is encouraging 
and the construction of the 13 063m2 speculative warehouse is on schedule 
for completion in February 2026.

We have received numerous enquiries for space at our Longlake Logistics 
Park and we expect to commence a pre-let development early in the 
2025 calendar year.

Construction of the 14 071m2 warehouse at Clairwood Logistics Park 
("Clairwood") on Pocket 5B, for CHC on a 10-year lease commencing on 
1 November 2024, was completed on schedule in October 2024. Discussions 
are ongoing with a potential tenant for Pocket 6 for 30 000m2 of 
gross lettable area ("GLA") and we expect to finalise this lease early 
in the 2025 calendar year. Post the construction and letting of Pocket 6, 
Clairwood will comprise approximately 300 000m2 of fully-let, high-quality 
and well-located secure logistics space.

Central and Eastern European ("CEE") logistics and logistics 
developments 

CEE logistics vacancies, based on rental, reduced 
from 3,5% at 30 June 2024 to 3,4% at 31 October 2024. This 
represents vacancies of 3 849m2 in Hall A at Stargard (Poland) 
and 4 320m2 in Hall E in Bydgoszcz (Poland). Since 31 October 2024, 
we have let the remainder of the space in Hall E to an existing 
tenant in the park who requires additional space, but who will 
however vacate their existing unit of 1 313m2.

Construction of phase 1 of Hall C in Bydgoszcz is progressing well. 
MediVet has leased this 6 425m2 space for 12 years, with the lease 
commencement expected to be in December 2024.

Construction of a 53 251m2 warehouse at our site in Lódz (Poland) 
was completed in June 2024, of which 28 064m2 has been let to 
Notino on a 10-year lease. The speculative warehouse of 25 187m2 
has been let to Oriflame on a six-and-a-half-year lease, commencing 
in January 2025. The project provides further development potential 
of approximately 29 000m2 of GLA in the second building. Development 
will commence once adequate pre-lease commitments are secured.

Construction of the 23 015m2 warehouse at our site in Zabrze 
(Poland) was completed during the FY2024 financial year and has 
been let to Lit Logistyka Polska (11 675m2) and INNPRO (11 340m2), 
both on five-year leases. Furthermore, construction of an additional 
11 340m2 warehouse for INNPRO commenced in July 2024, also on a 
five-year lease, which is expected to be completed during April 2025. 
The demand for space at Zabrze has exceeded our expectations and 
discussions with potential tenants for the 11 675m2 speculative 
development, with completion scheduled for April 2025, are progressing 
well. 

The table below provides a summary of our logistics park 
developments in SA and CEE:
                                   Fortress'                    Let   
Logistics       Description/       ownership      GLA m2        GLA   
park            tenant                     %       (100%)      (100%) 
Developments completed post 30 June 2024
Clairwood       Pocket 5B – CHC          100       14 071      14 071
Eastport        John Deere                65        4 619       4 619 
Total                                              18 690      18 690 

Developments currently under development
Bydgoszcz       Hall C 
(Poland)        (phase 1) – MediVet      100        6 425       6 425
Zabrze
(Poland)        Phase 2 – INNPRO         100       11 340      11 340
Zabrze 
(Poland)        Phase 2 – Speculative    100       11 675           -
Eastport        Crusader Logistics 2      65       19 970      19 970
Eastport        Liquor Runners            65       31 481      31 481
Eastport        Speculative               65       13 063           -
Total                                              93 954      69 216 
Total: 100% of developments                       112 644      87 906

                                       Lease   Estimated    Estimated
Logistics       Description/            term       yield   completion  
park            tenant               (years)         (%)$       date 
Developments completed post 30 June 2024
Clairwood       Pocket 5B – CHC           10         8,3     Oct 2024
Eastport        John Deere                10         8,5     Sep 2024 

Developments currently under development
Bydgoszcz       Hall C 
(Poland)        (phase 1) – MediVet       12         7,3*    Dec 2024
Zabrze
(Poland)        Phase 2 – INNPRO           5         7,0*    Apr 2025
Zabrze 
(Poland)        Phase 2 – Speculative      -         7,0*    Apr 2025
Eastport        Crusader Logistics 2      10^        8,5     Sep 2025
Eastport        Liquor Runners             5         8,1     Sep 2025
Eastport        Speculative                -         8,5     Feb 2026

*  Yield shown in Euro.
$  Development cost in this calculation includes cost of finance, 
internal project management fees and all other costs.
^  Initial lease period is five years, with an option in favour of the 
landlord to extend for five years, which we intend to exercise.

Retail

Our retail portfolio, which is commuter-oriented and focused on convenience 
retail, is well-positioned given current macroeconomic conditions and a 
challenging consumer environment. Like-for-like turnover increased by 4,5% for 
the 12 months ended 31 October 2024, compared to the corresponding period of 
the previous year. Like-for-like turnover in October 2024 was 6,5% higher than 
in October 2023, despite a tougher trading environment since June 2024. 
The positive impact of lower interest rates, consumer liquidity brought about 
by the two-pot retirement system and improving consumer confidence, should 
support growth in retail sales during the 2024 holiday season and in the 
medium term.

The retail portfolio collection rate for the period 30 June 2024 to 
31 October 2024 was 99%. Retail vacancies, based on rental, decreased from 
1,4% at 30 June 2024 to 1,1% at 31 October 2024.

In line with our strategy of selling non-core assets, we sold and transferred 
Kimberley Junction for R97 million in July 2024. Paradise and Corner House 
in Thohoyandou is held for sale at expected net proceeds of R48 million.

The redevelopment of 204 Oxford is nearing completion, with Woolworths 
having commenced trading during October 2024. The 4 500m2 extension of 
Sterkspruit Plaza, which will be anchored by a new Boxer supermarket, 
is underway and on track for completion in 2H2025.

Industrial and Inofort

Vacancies, based on rental, in the industrial portfolio increased from 
8,9% at 30 June 2024 to 11,1% at 31 October 2024. Of the 27 558m2 of 
industrial vacancies, 16 944m2 comprises the office component of these 
properties, with the majority of this in Spartan and Isando. Well-located, 
smaller industrial units remain in demand and interest from potential 
purchasers for the multi-user industrial parks is encouraging. The joint 
portfolio, co-owned and managed by Inospace, continues to experience 
high demand for its unique offering. This has resulted in strong net 
operating income growth, in line with our initial forecast of 15% 
year-on-year growth, in addition to the 17,5% year-on-year net operating 
income growth achieved in FY2024.

Office

Office vacancies, based on rental, increased from 24,3% at 30 June 2024 
to 27,9% at 31 October 2024. The increase is mainly attributable to a 
single building of 3 949m2, RTMC Waterfall, which became vacant during 
October 2024. We are in the process of refurbishing this building. The 
office portfolio remains non-core, and we estimate that the office 
portfolio will reduce, by value, to less than 2% of total assets, should 
the current held for sale transactions be concluded.

Vacancies

Total vacancies, based on rental, remained flat at 3,4% from 
30 June 2024 to 31 October 2024.

                           Based on rental            Based on GLA
                      Oct 2024#     Jun 2024#     Oct 2024     Jun 2024
Sectoral vacancy             %             %             %            %
Total                      3,4           3,4           3,9          4,0
Logistics - SA             1,4           1,5           1,4          1,8
Logistics - CEE            3,4           3,5           3,7          3,7
Retail                     1,1           1,4           1,3          1,7
Industrial                11,1           8,9          10,2          8,9
Office                    27,9          24,3          29,2         25,2
Other^                       -             -             -            -

Information based on Fortress' economic interest in wholly-owned and 
co-owned properties

#  Vacancy based on the gross rental (100% of GLA and value) of the building.
^  Includes residential units, and serviced apartment properties

Direct property disposals

We continue to sell non-core properties, with total disposals for the 
financial year-to-date amounting to R746 million with a corresponding book 
value of R718 million.

The following properties have transferred since 30 June 2024:

                                                          Book
                                                Net      value
                                           proceeds   Jun 2024     Transfer
Property name                  Sector       (R'000)    (R'000)         date 
Eastport Logistics Park
- Teraco Land*                 Land        133 250      133 250    Jul 2024
Fourways Office Park*          Office      103 700      103 700    Jul 2024
Kimberley Junction*            Retail       97 000       97 000    Jul 2024
1 Setchel Road Roodekop*       Industrial   96 250       96 250    Jul 2024
49 Ayrshire Road Longmeadow    Logistics    62 500       52 233    Oct 2024
Chemserve Spartan              Industrial   54 000       44 733    Oct 2024
1105 Anvil Road Robertville    Industrial   28 050       28 123    Sep 2024
35 Reedbuck Crescent*          Logistics    25 450       25 450    Jul 2024
Milkyway Road Crown Mines*     Logistics    25 000       25 000    Aug 2024
11 Reedbuck Crescent 
Corporate Park                 Logistics    23 000       19 611    Nov 2024
146 Serenade Road Rustivia*    Logistics    21 000       21 000    Aug 2024
8 Field Street Wilbart         Industrial   17 500       14 645    Oct 2024
1338 Staal Road Stormill       Industrial   16 000       15 397    Sep 2024
9 Reedbuck Crescent*           Logistics    13 800       13 800    Aug 2024
71 Tsessebe Crescent*          Logistics    13 000       13 000    Aug 2024
45 Director Road
(previously 741 Megawatt Road) Logistics    13 000       11 820    Oct 2024
Lakeview Business Park 1       Industrial    3 850        2 917    Sep 2024 
                                           746 350      717 929

*  Held for sale at 30 June 2024. Held for sale assets had a book value
equal to the selling price at 30 June 2024.

The following properties are currently held for sale, none of which have 
yet transferred:
                                                                       Book
                                                           Net        value
                                                      proceeds    June 2024
Property name                           Sector         (R'000)      (R'000)  
Rutherford Estate Scott Street          Office          72 500       70 000
Paradise and Corner House               Retail          48 000       50 000
Hobart Square*                          Office          43 000       43 000
Centurion Office Park*                  Office          40 000       40 000
68 Galaxy Avenue Linbro Park            Logistics       27 000       23 930
Turnberry Fourways Golf Park            Office          11 580       10 000
32 Mandy Road                           Industrial       9 335        9 600
66 Booysen Street                       Industrial       6 070        6 311
Lakeview Business Park 7                Industrial       5 600        4 232 
                                                       263 085      257 073
*  Held for sale at 30 June 2024.

Energy and water solutions

We remain committed to establishing a significant solar photovoltaic 
("solar PV") footprint across our property portfolio. We now have 79 operational
solar PV plants totalling 29,69MWac, compared to 59 plants totalling 22,17MWac 
at 30 June 2024. By 30 June 2025, we aim to add a further 18 plants, taking 
the total number of installations to 97, with installed capacity increasing 
to 35,24MWac. Furthermore, we have completed the solar installation of 
400kWac at ELI Park (Romania). The rollout of additional solar PV plants, 
has resulted in us generating approximately 11 000MWh of renewable energy 
during the first four months of the current financial year 
(FY2024: 22 180MWh).

NEPI Rockcastle

Shareholders and noteholders are referred to the announcements published on 
SENS by Fortress on 5 November 2024 relating to the results of the dividend 
in specie offered to shareholders in lieu of the cash dividend declared for 
the six months ended 30 June 2024. As a result, Fortress' shareholding in 
NEPI Rockcastle reduced from 17,11% on 18 October 2024 to 16,26% at the 
date of this announcement.

NEPI Rockcastle released its interim results for the six months to 
30 June 2024 on 20 August 2024 and subsequently released a comprehensive 
business update on 20 November 2024, both available on its website at 
www.nepirockcastle.com. The current value of our investment in 
NEPI Rockcastle is approximately R16,2 billion.

Funding, liquidity and treasury

We raised an additional R1,09 billion under our domestic medium-term note 
("DMTN") programme in October 2024. The issuance consisted of two notes 
of R429 million in a three-year note and R658 million in a five-year note.

We further refinanced R1,0 billion of expiring facilities with RMB in 
November 2024. The facilities have been refinanced for three years 
(R350 million), four years (R350 million) and five years (R300 million). 
At our election, we repaid all existing Libfin facilities, totalling 
R700 million, in November 2024.

Our interest rate hedging comprises 69% caps and 31% swaps. The higher 
proportion of caps will benefit our funding costs if interest rates
decline from their current relatively high levels, while still 
providing protection if interest rates increase.

Consistent with all prior reporting periods where sustainability-linked 
notes were in issue, we remain compliant with the set KPIs and are 
on track to achieve the targets for June 2025.

We currently have a total of R4,2 billion in cash and available 
facilities at group level and remain comfortably within 39,8% at the 
date of this announcement.

Outlook and guidance

Our distributable earnings guidance for FY2025, published on 29 August 2024, 
was approximately R1,75 billion or 146,99 cents per share.

We revise our estimated distributable earnings for FY2025 to be approximately 
R1,78 billion, representing 147,80 cents per share, which is 16,9% higher 
than the normalised distributable earnings for FY2024. Further detail is 
presented in the table below:

                                                                 FY2025
                     1H2024         2H2024        FY2024       (revised  Change
                   (actual)       (actual)      (actual)      forecase)     (%)
Total 
distributable 
earnings (R'000)    952 868        835 637     1 788 505      1 780 000   (0,5) 
Shares in 
issue         1 169 980 307  1 190 536 893 1 190 536 893  1 204 291 830
Distributable 
earnings per 
share (cents)         81,44          70,19        151,63#        147,80   (2,5)

                                                  FY2024
Normalisation        1H2024         2H2024   (normalised         FY2025            
adjustments:    (normalised)       (actual)       actual)     (forecast)
 
Exclusion of 
dividend on
53 134 372 NEPI 
Rockcastle 
shares received 
in September 
2023* (R'000)      (266 365)              -      (266 365)            -      -
Adjusted total 
distributable 
earnings (R'000) 
(normalised for 
the effects of 
the Scheme of 
Arrangement)        686 503        835 637       1 522 140    1 780 000   16,9
Adjusted 
distributable 
earnings per 
share
(cents)               58,68          70,19          128,87       147,80   14,7

* The 53 134 372 NRP shares were used to fund the buy-back of all the 
Fortress B ordinary shares in issue at the time of implementation of the 
Scheme of Arrangement in February 2024. The adjustment includes related foreign 
currency hedges on this income.
# Sum of the 1H2024 and 2H2024 actual dividends per share.

This forecast is based on the following assumptions:

Fortress-specific assumptions

- Our distributable earnings methodology will remain consistent with that of 
prior periods, as previously communicated;
- NEPI Rockcastle maintains a 90% payout ratio and meets their published 
distributable earnings per share guidance for their financial year ending 
31 December 2024;
- No material sales, or acquisitions, outside of our planned pipeline occur 
which necessitate a revision to this forecast;
- There is no unforeseen failure of material tenants in our portfolio;
- Contractual escalations and market-related renewals will be achieved with 
no major change in vacancy rates; and
- Tenants will be able to absorb the recovery of rising utility costs and 
municipal rates.

Macroeconomic and regulatory assumptions

- There is no unforeseen material macroeconomic deterioration in the markets 
in which Fortress has exposure;
- There are no unforeseen adverse socio-political events in the jurisdictions 
in which Fortress has exposure;
- There are no changes to current tax legislation in the jurisdictions in 
which the Company operates; and
- There are no changes to current interest rates by the European Central 
Bank or the South African Reserve Bank.

The forecast and normalisation adjustments, including the assumptions on
which they are based and the financial information from which they have 
been prepared, are the responsibility of the directors of the Company. The 
forecast and normalisation adjustments have not been reviewed or reported on 
by the Company's external auditors.

3 December 2024

Lead equity sponsor
Java Capital

Debt sponsor and joint equity sponsor
Nedbank

Date: 03-12-2024 04:40:00
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